Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 10.229934 11.798516 13.482372 15.419155 17.579893 19.910857 22.610027
2025-08-24 7.813908 9.863010 12.223268 15.122882 18.567764 22.507643 27.331033
2025-08-31 6.240844 8.459877 11.160049 14.647453 18.988470 24.168113 30.765115
2025-09-07 5.350016 7.702110 10.698103 14.729027 19.937796 26.363907 34.803722
2025-09-14 4.640010 7.057204 10.265923 14.742629 20.719664 28.308935 38.540450
2025-09-21 4.123430 6.594609 9.999936 14.907220 21.650209 30.428834 42.532772
2025-09-28 3.643456 6.117248 9.650538 14.900398 22.310288 32.182433 46.076783
2025-10-05 3.351123 5.876498 9.599887 15.282347 23.491244 34.646400 50.623140
2025-10-12 3.065741 5.609794 9.478166 15.535489 24.480933 36.865369 54.894447
2025-10-19 2.775882 5.300514 9.258681 15.614851 25.204873 38.721969 58.709535
2025-10-26 2.415707 4.832082 8.747925 15.207724 25.177312 39.496072 61.015836
2025-11-02 2.125946 4.448891 8.335194 14.912677 25.282789 40.440694 63.567591
2025-11-09 1.860775 4.081090 7.919599 14.587876 25.329617 41.308792 66.056327
2025-11-16 1.635076 3.757912 7.548806 14.304223 25.414881 42.223438 68.629295
2025-11-23 1.411360 3.408622 7.098635 13.850176 25.193908 42.651786 70.476236
2025-11-30 1.290362 3.248560 6.969954 13.928071 25.823536 44.385705 74.314819
2025-12-07 1.173411 3.081571 6.812530 13.941061 26.339057 45.950631 77.932219
2025-12-14 1.085915 2.966405 6.741330 14.098240 27.094895 47.907986 82.196691
2025-12-21 0.988171 2.815368 6.586954 14.091725 27.566913 49.422822 85.809487
2025-12-28 0.938808 2.769183 6.634485 14.456529 28.686595 52.003534 91.149102
2026-01-04 0.880791 2.694886 6.618354 14.698349 29.597712 54.268401 96.043055
2026-01-11 0.812127 2.585190 6.519462 14.774168 30.214853 56.065216 100.232195
2026-01-18 0.710369 2.376358 6.192575 14.385250 29.979603 56.438696 102.138677